๐ŸฅŠ Fight Lab

Your UFC Research Platform

Grant Dawson

Grant Dawson

25-3-1

Lightweight

5' 10" 156.0 Switch
ESPN Profile โ†—
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev
October 24, 2026
๐Ÿ“ Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
FIGHT PREVIEW

VS

Fight Lab Prediction Engine
Nurullo Aliev

Nurullo Aliev

12-0

Lightweight

5' 10" 156.0 Orthodox
ESPN Profile โ†—

๐Ÿ“‹ Tale of the Tape

Grant Dawson Category Nurullo Aliev
32 Age 25
5' 10" Height 5' 10"
156.0 lbs Weight 156.0 lbs
72" Reach 72"
Switch Stance Orthodox
25-3-1 Record 12-0
3.21 SLpM 2.72
3.81 TD Avg 2.12
72.0 Fight Lab Score 60.0

๐Ÿ“Š Skill Comparison

Power
Grant Dawson
0.0
Nurullo Aliev
0.0
Speed
Grant Dawson
4.8
Nurullo Aliev
4.1
Technique
Grant Dawson
4.8
Nurullo Aliev
5.1
Wrestling
Grant Dawson
7.7
Nurullo Aliev
7.0
Submission
Grant Dawson
2.8
Nurullo Aliev
0.8
Cardio
Grant Dawson
5.6
Nurullo Aliev
2.4
Durability
Grant Dawson
9.6
Nurullo Aliev
10.0
Fight IQ
Grant Dawson
7.8
Nurullo Aliev
5.3

๐Ÿง  Fight Lab Prediction

๐Ÿ† Grant Dawson

Predicted Winner

50.4%
49.6%
Grant Dawson
Nurullo Aliev

Confidence: Low
DATA COVERAGE
100%
High
๐Ÿ”Ž Key Matchup Edges
Strongest category advantages in the matchup
Primary Edge Nurullo Aliev +4.6 (Fight IQ)
Secondary Edge Grant Dawson +3.7 (Experience)

๐Ÿ“Š Matchup Breakdown

Category Edge
Resume 1.2
Striking 0.15
Wrestling 0.18
Grappling 2.0
Cardio 0.92
Fight IQ -4.63
Experience 3.67
Momentum -1.25
Total Edge 0.58

Fight Lab Prediction Engine v4

๐Ÿ“Š Fight Lab Comparison

Category Grant Dawson Nurullo Aliev
Resume Score
72.0
60.0
Win %
86.2%
100.0%
Striking Accuracy
52.0%
44.0%
Takedown Defense
57.0%
80.0%
SLpM
3.21
2.72
TD Avg
3.81
2.12

๐Ÿ“Š Matchup Breakdown

Resume
Grant Dawson +1.2
Striking
Grant Dawson +0.1
Wrestling
Grant Dawson +0.2
Grappling
Grant Dawson +2.0
Cardio
Grant Dawson +0.9
Fight IQ
Nurullo Aliev +4.6
Experience
Grant Dawson +3.7
Overall Edge Grant Dawson +0.6

๐Ÿ“ Physical Matchup

Grant Dawson Category Nurullo Aliev
70" Height 70"
72.0" Reach 72.0"
Lightweight Weight Class Lightweight
HEIGHT DIFFERENCE EVEN
REACH DIFFERENCE EVEN
PHYSICAL CONTEXT
Comparable physical profile
PHYSICAL EDGE
EVEN

๐Ÿง  Keys to Victory

Grant Dawson

  • โœ… Look for grappling exchanges and submission opportunities.
  • โœ… Push the pace and make the cardio advantage show over time.
  • โœ… Use the experience advantage to manage difficult moments.

Nurullo Aliev

  • โ„น๏ธ Limited statistical data is available, so Fight Lab cannot identify a strong category-specific advantage yet.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Last Five Performances

Grant Dawson
Recent Form
โ— W โ— W โ— L โ— W โ— W
W Mateusz Rebecki
2026-05-09
SUB โ€ข R3 โ€ข 4:42
SS 35/94 (37.2%)
TD 1/3 (33.3%)
KD 0    SUB 4    CTRL 7:08
W Mateusz Rฤ™becki
2026-05-09
Submission โ€ข R3 โ€ข 4:42
Detailed fight statistics not available
L Manuel Torres
2025-12-06
KO/TKO โ€ข R1 โ€ข 2:25
SS 9/17 (52.9%)
TD 0/0
KD 1    SUB 0    CTRL 0:04
W Diego Ferreira
2025-01-18
U-DEC โ€ข R3 โ€ข 5:00
SS 56/98 (57.1%)
TD 6/11 (54.5%)
KD 0    SUB 0    CTRL 10:50
W Rafa Garcia
2024-10-12
KO/TKO โ€ข R2 โ€ข 1:42
SS 44/90 (48.9%)
TD 2/4 (50.0%)
KD 0    SUB 0    CTRL 5:09
Nurullo Aliev
Recent Form
โ— W โ— W โ— W โ— W โ— W
Mike Davis W
2026-07-25
U-DEC โ€ข R3 โ€ข 5:00
13/34 (38.2%) SS
8/13 (61.5%) TD
0 KD
1 SUB
12:25 CTRL
Shem Rock W
2025-11-22
U-DEC โ€ข R3 โ€ข 5:00
51/117 (43.6%) SS
1/5 (20.0%) TD
0 KD
1 SUB
3:44 CTRL
Joe Solecki W
2025-01-11
U-DEC โ€ข R3 โ€ข 5:00
35/88 (39.8%) SS
2/2 (100.0%) TD
0 KD
0 SUB
8:13 CTRL
Rafael Alves W
2023-02-25
M-DEC โ€ข R3 โ€ข 5:00
6/17 (35.3%) SS
0/0 TD
0 KD
2 SUB
1:18 CTRL
Josh Wick W
2022-09-20
KO/TKO โ€ข R1 โ€ข 4:36
Detailed fight statistics not available
Recent Form Analysis
LAST FIVE
Grant Dawson 4-1
Nurullo Aliev 5-0
WIN %
Grant Dawson 80.0%
Nurullo Aliev 100.0%
FINISH RATE
Grant Dawson 80.0%
Nurullo Aliev 20.0%
AVG FIGHT LAB RATING
Grant Dawson --
Nurullo Aliev --
SIG / TD ACCURACY
Grant Dawson SS 49.0% ยท TD 45.9%
Nurullo Aliev SS 39.2% ยท TD 60.5%
AVG CONTROL
Grant Dawson 5:47
Nurullo Aliev 6:25
PREDICTION DATA
100%
High