Noche UFC: Rodriguez vs. Silva
September 12, 2026
📍 Glendale, Arizona, USA
FIGHT PREVIEW
VS
Fight Lab Prediction Engine
📋 Tale of the Tape
| Rafa Garcia | Category | Rongzhu |
|---|---|---|
| 32 | Age | 26 |
| 5' 7" | Height | 5' 9" |
| 155.0 lbs | Weight | 155.0 lbs |
| 70" | Reach | 71" |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 20-4 | Record | 27-6 |
| 4.31 | SLpM | 6.02 |
| 3.13 | TD Avg | 1.35 |
| 72.0 | Fight Lab Score | 72.0 |
📊 Skill Comparison
Power
Rafa Garcia
0.0
Rongzhu
0.0
Speed
Rafa Garcia
6.5
Rongzhu
9.0
Technique
Rafa Garcia
5.3
Rongzhu
5.2
Wrestling
Rafa Garcia
7.9
Rongzhu
7.2
Submission
Rafa Garcia
1.2
Rongzhu
0.2
Cardio
Rafa Garcia
4.8
Rongzhu
6.6
Durability
Rafa Garcia
7.9
Rongzhu
6.6
Fight IQ
Rafa Garcia
7.8
Rongzhu
9.2
🧠 Fight Lab Prediction
🏆 Rafa Garcia
Predicted Winner
Rafa Garcia
Rongzhu
Confidence:
Low
DATA COVERAGE
100%
High
🔎 Key Matchup Edges
Strongest category advantages in the matchup
Primary Edge
Rafa Garcia
+2.2
(Momentum)
Secondary Edge
Rongzhu
+1.8
(Experience)
Physical Edge
Rongzhu
+0.8
📊 Matchup Breakdown
| Category | Edge |
|---|---|
| Resume | 0.0 |
| Striking | -1.13 |
| Wrestling | 0.77 |
| Grappling | 1.29 |
| Cardio | -1.15 |
| Fight IQ | 0.7 |
| Experience | -1.75 |
| Momentum | 2.25 |
| Total Edge | 2.15 |
Fight Lab Prediction Engine v4
📊 Fight Lab Comparison
| Category | Rafa Garcia | Rongzhu |
|---|---|---|
| Resume Score |
72.0 |
72.0 |
| Win % |
83.3% |
81.8% |
| Striking Accuracy |
45.0% |
51.0% |
| Takedown Defense |
76.0% |
84.0% |
| SLpM |
4.31 |
6.02 |
| TD Avg |
3.13 |
1.35 |
📊 Matchup Breakdown
Resume
EVEN
Striking
Rongzhu
+1.1
Wrestling
Rafa Garcia
+0.8
Grappling
Rafa Garcia
+1.3
Cardio
Rongzhu
+1.1
Fight IQ
Rafa Garcia
+0.7
Experience
Rongzhu
+1.8
Overall Edge
Rafa Garcia
+2.1
📏 Physical Matchup
| Rafa Garcia | Category | Rongzhu |
|---|---|---|
| 67" | Height | 69" |
| 70.0" | Reach | 71.0" |
| Lightweight | Weight Class | Lightweight |
HEIGHT DIFFERENCE
Rongzhu
+2"
REACH DIFFERENCE
Rongzhu
+1.0"
PHYSICAL CONTEXT
Comparable physical profile
PHYSICAL EDGE
Rongzhu
+0.75
🧠 Keys to Victory
Rafa Garcia
- ✅ Mix in takedowns and make the wrestling advantage matter.
- ✅ Look for grappling exchanges and submission opportunities.
Rongzhu
- ✅ Use the striking advantage and control the pace on the feet.
- ✅ Push the pace and make the cardio advantage show over time.
- ✅ Use the experience advantage to manage difficult moments.
📈 Last Five Performances
Rafa Garcia
Recent Form
● W
● W
● W
● W
● L
W
Alexander Hernandez
2026-04-25
U-DEC
• R3
• 5:00
SS
59/169
(34.9%)
TD 4/7 (57.1%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 1:50
TD 4/7 (57.1%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 1:50
W
Jared Gordon
2025-09-13
KO/TKO
• R3
• 2:27
SS
91/162
(56.2%)
TD 2/3 (66.7%)
KD 1 SUB 2 CTRL 2:01
TD 2/3 (66.7%)
KD 1 SUB 2 CTRL 2:01
W
Jared Gordon
2025-09-13
KO/TKO
• R3
• 2:27
Detailed fight statistics not available
W
Vinc Pichel
2025-03-29
U-DEC
• R3
• 5:00
SS
64/120
(53.3%)
TD 2/6 (33.3%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 2:15
TD 2/6 (33.3%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 2:15
L
Grant Dawson
2024-10-12
KO/TKO
• R2
• 1:42
SS
5/12
(41.7%)
TD 0/0
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:00
TD 0/0
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:00
Rongzhu
Recent Form
● W
● W
● L
● W
● W
Austin Hubbard
W
2025-08-23
U-DEC
• R3
• 5:00
101/197
(51.3%)
SS
0/0 TD
0 KD
0 SUB
0:00 CTRL
0/0 TD
0 KD
0 SUB
0:00 CTRL
Kody Steele
W
2025-02-08
U-DEC
• R3
• 5:00
125/241
(51.9%)
SS
0/0 TD
1 KD
0 SUB
0:18 CTRL
0/0 TD
1 KD
0 SUB
0:18 CTRL
Chris Padilla
L
2024-09-07
KO/TKO
• R2
• 4:14
68/105
(64.8%)
SS
0/1 (0.0%) TD
0 KD
0 SUB
0:00 CTRL
0/1 (0.0%) TD
0 KD
0 SUB
0:00 CTRL
Shin Haraguchi
W
2024-02-03
Submission
• R3
• 3:06
Detailed fight statistics not available
Sangwook Kim
W
2023-08-27
Decision - Unanimous
• R3
• 5:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
Recent Form Analysis
LAST FIVE
Rafa Garcia
4-1
Rongzhu
4-1
WIN %
Rafa Garcia
80.0%
Rongzhu
80.0%
FINISH RATE
Rafa Garcia
60.0%
Rongzhu
40.0%
AVG FIGHT LAB RATING
Rafa Garcia
--
Rongzhu
--
SIG / TD ACCURACY
Rafa Garcia
SS
46.5%
·
TD
52.4%
Rongzhu
SS
56.0%
·
TD
0.0%
AVG CONTROL
Rafa Garcia
1:31
Rongzhu
0:06
PREDICTION DATA
100%
High