🥊 Fight Lab

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Kelvin Gastelum

Kelvin Gastelum

23-11

Middleweight

5' 9" 185.0 Southpaw
ESPN Profile ↗
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Silva
September 12, 2026
📍 Glendale, Arizona, USA
FIGHT PREVIEW

VS

Fight Lab Prediction Engine
Yousri Belgaroui

Yousri Belgaroui

10-3

Middleweight

6' 6" 185.0 Orthodox
ESPN Profile ↗

📋 Tale of the Tape

Kelvin Gastelum Category Yousri Belgaroui
34 Age 34
5' 9" Height 6' 6"
185.0 lbs Weight 185.0 lbs
71.5" Reach 79"
Southpaw Stance Orthodox
23-11 Record 10-3
3.67 SLpM 5.82
1.01 TD Avg 0.39
64.0 Fight Lab Score 67.0

📊 Skill Comparison

Power
Kelvin Gastelum
0.0
Yousri Belgaroui
0.0
Speed
Kelvin Gastelum
5.5
Yousri Belgaroui
8.7
Technique
Kelvin Gastelum
5.0
Yousri Belgaroui
6.3
Wrestling
Kelvin Gastelum
4.8
Yousri Belgaroui
7.1
Submission
Kelvin Gastelum
0.2
Yousri Belgaroui
0.0
Cardio
Kelvin Gastelum
6.8
Yousri Belgaroui
2.6
Durability
Kelvin Gastelum
8.8
Yousri Belgaroui
9.9
Fight IQ
Kelvin Gastelum
9.7
Yousri Belgaroui
5.7

🧠 Fight Lab Prediction

🏆 Kelvin Gastelum

Predicted Winner

50.0%
50.0%
Kelvin Gastelum
Yousri Belgaroui

Confidence: Low
DATA COVERAGE
94%
High
🔎 Key Matchup Edges
Strongest category advantages in the matchup
Primary Edge Kelvin Gastelum +4.4 (Experience)
Secondary Edge Kelvin Gastelum +2.6 (Cardio)
Physical Edge Yousri Belgaroui +3.0

📊 Matchup Breakdown

Category Edge
Resume -0.3
Striking -2.57
Wrestling -0.73
Grappling 0.4
Cardio 2.62
Fight IQ -1.47
Experience 4.37
Momentum -1.0
Total Edge -2.05

Fight Lab Prediction Engine v4

📊 Fight Lab Comparison

Category Kelvin Gastelum Yousri Belgaroui
Resume Score
64.0
67.0
Win %
67.6%
76.9%
Striking Accuracy
42.0%
66.0%
Takedown Defense
60.0%
68.0%
SLpM
3.67
5.82
TD Avg
1.01
0.39

📊 Matchup Breakdown

Resume
Yousri Belgaroui +0.3
Striking
Yousri Belgaroui +2.6
Wrestling
Yousri Belgaroui +0.7
Grappling
Kelvin Gastelum +0.4
Cardio
Kelvin Gastelum +2.6
Fight IQ
Yousri Belgaroui +1.5
Experience
Kelvin Gastelum +4.4
Overall Edge Yousri Belgaroui +2.0

📏 Physical Matchup

Kelvin Gastelum Category Yousri Belgaroui
69" Height 78"
71.5" Reach 79.0"
Middleweight Weight Class Middleweight
HEIGHT DIFFERENCE Yousri Belgaroui +9"
REACH DIFFERENCE Yousri Belgaroui +7.5"
PHYSICAL CONTEXT
Fighter 2 taller
PHYSICAL EDGE
Yousri Belgaroui +3.00

🧠 Keys to Victory

Kelvin Gastelum

  • ✅ Push the pace and make the cardio advantage show over time.
  • ✅ Use the experience advantage to manage difficult moments.

Yousri Belgaroui

  • ✅ Use the striking advantage and control the pace on the feet.
  • ✅ Mix in takedowns and make the wrestling advantage matter.
  • ✅ Use the reach advantage to control distance and range.
  • ✅ Use the height advantage to maintain range and create openings.

📈 Last Five Performances

Kelvin Gastelum
Recent Form
● L ● W ● W ● L ● W
L Vicente Luque
2026-04-11
SUB • R1 • 4:08
SS 12/28 (42.9%)
TD 0/0
KD 1    SUB 1    CTRL 1:04
W Dustin Stoltzfus
2025-09-13
U-DEC • R3 • 5:00
SS 57/117 (48.7%)
TD 0/0
KD 1    SUB 0    CTRL 0:23
W Dustin Stoltzfus
2025-09-13
U-DEC • R3 • 5:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
L Joe Pyfer
2025-06-07
U-DEC • R3 • 5:00
SS 57/114 (50.0%)
TD 1/2 (50.0%)
KD 2    SUB 0    CTRL 0:31
W Daniel Rodriguez
2024-06-22
U-DEC • R3 • 5:00
SS 112/238 (47.1%)
TD 4/4 (100.0%)
KD 0    SUB 0    CTRL 2:47
Yousri Belgaroui
Recent Form
● W ● W ● W ● W ● W
Mansur Abdul-Malik W
2026-03-28
KO/TKO • R3 • 3:39
16/60 (26.7%) SS
3/8 (37.5%) TD
0 KD
0 SUB
2:07 CTRL
Azamat Bekoev W
2025-10-18
KO/TKO • R3 • 0:55
24/77 (31.2%) SS
4/8 (50.0%) TD
0 KD
0 SUB
3:18 CTRL
Taiga Iwasaki W
2024-09-10
KO/TKO • R3 • 2:34
Detailed fight statistics not available
Ahmed Sami W
2024-02-18
Decision - Unanimous • R5 • 5:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
Giorgi Kvelidze W
2023-10-29
KO/TKO • R1 • 4:59
Detailed fight statistics not available
Recent Form Analysis
LAST FIVE
Kelvin Gastelum 3-2
Yousri Belgaroui 5-0
WIN %
Kelvin Gastelum 60.0%
Yousri Belgaroui 100.0%
FINISH RATE
Kelvin Gastelum 20.0%
Yousri Belgaroui 80.0%
AVG FIGHT LAB RATING
Kelvin Gastelum --
Yousri Belgaroui --
SIG / TD ACCURACY
Kelvin Gastelum SS 47.2% · TD 75.0%
Yousri Belgaroui SS 28.9% · TD 43.8%
AVG CONTROL
Kelvin Gastelum 1:11
Yousri Belgaroui 2:42
PREDICTION DATA
94%
High