UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2
September 19, 2026
📍 Los Angeles, California, USA
FIGHT PREVIEW
VS
Fight Lab Prediction Engine
📋 Tale of the Tape
| Renato Moicano | Category | Brian Ortega |
|---|---|---|
| 37 | Age | 35 |
| 5' 11" | Height | 5' 8" |
| 156.0 lbs | Weight | 153.0 lbs |
| 72" | Reach | 69" |
| Orthodox | Stance | Switch |
| 21-7 | Record | 16-5 |
| 4.17 | SLpM | 3.84 |
| 1.67 | TD Avg | 0.93 |
| 66.0 | Fight Lab Score | 58.0 |
📊 Skill Comparison
Power
Renato Moicano
0.0
Brian Ortega
0.0
Speed
Renato Moicano
6.3
Brian Ortega
5.8
Technique
Renato Moicano
5.3
Brian Ortega
4.3
Wrestling
Renato Moicano
5.8
Brian Ortega
4.1
Submission
Renato Moicano
1.2
Brian Ortega
2.2
Cardio
Renato Moicano
5.6
Brian Ortega
4.2
Durability
Renato Moicano
8.8
Brian Ortega
5.6
Fight IQ
Renato Moicano
8.6
Brian Ortega
6.7
🧠 Fight Lab Prediction
🏆 Renato Moicano
Predicted Winner
Renato Moicano
Brian Ortega
Confidence:
Medium
DATA COVERAGE
100%
High
🔎 Key Matchup Edges
Strongest category advantages in the matchup
Primary Edge
Renato Moicano
+2.5
(Fight IQ)
Secondary Edge
Renato Moicano
+2.0
(Momentum)
Physical Edge
Renato Moicano
+1.9
📊 Matchup Breakdown
| Category | Edge |
|---|---|
| Resume | 0.8 |
| Striking | 1.01 |
| Wrestling | 1.76 |
| Grappling | -0.99 |
| Cardio | -0.75 |
| Fight IQ | 2.47 |
| Experience | 1.42 |
| Momentum | 2.0 |
| Total Edge | 12.28 |
Fight Lab Prediction Engine v4
📊 Fight Lab Comparison
| Category | Renato Moicano | Brian Ortega |
|---|---|---|
| Resume Score |
66.0 |
58.0 |
| Win % |
75.0% |
76.2% |
| Striking Accuracy |
48.0% |
37.0% |
| Takedown Defense |
62.0% |
54.0% |
| SLpM |
4.17 |
3.84 |
| TD Avg |
1.67 |
0.93 |
📊 Matchup Breakdown
Resume
Renato Moicano
+0.8
Striking
Renato Moicano
+1.0
Wrestling
Renato Moicano
+1.8
Grappling
Brian Ortega
+1.0
Cardio
Brian Ortega
+0.8
Fight IQ
Renato Moicano
+2.5
Experience
Renato Moicano
+1.4
Overall Edge
Renato Moicano
+12.3
📏 Physical Matchup
| Renato Moicano | Category | Brian Ortega |
|---|---|---|
| 71" | Height | 68" |
| 72.0" | Reach | 69.0" |
| Lightweight | Weight Class | Lightweight |
HEIGHT DIFFERENCE
Renato Moicano
+3"
REACH DIFFERENCE
Renato Moicano
+3.0"
PHYSICAL CONTEXT
Comparable physical profile
PHYSICAL EDGE
Renato Moicano
+1.85
🧠 Keys to Victory
Renato Moicano
- ✅ Use the striking advantage and control the pace on the feet.
- ✅ Mix in takedowns and make the wrestling advantage matter.
- ✅ Use the experience advantage to manage difficult moments.
- ✅ Use the reach advantage to control distance and range.
- ✅ Use the height advantage to maintain range and create openings.
Brian Ortega
- ✅ Look for grappling exchanges and submission opportunities.
- ✅ Push the pace and make the cardio advantage show over time.
📈 Last Five Performances
Renato Moicano
Recent Form
● W
● L
● L
● W
● W
W
Chris Duncan
2026-04-04
SUB
• R2
• 3:14
SS
21/36
(58.3%)
TD 1/4 (25.0%)
KD 0 SUB 1 CTRL 3:16
TD 1/4 (25.0%)
KD 0 SUB 1 CTRL 3:16
L
Beneil Dariush
2025-06-28
U-DEC
• R3
• 5:00
SS
31/61
(50.8%)
TD 0/3 (0.0%)
KD 1 SUB 0 CTRL 1:20
TD 0/3 (0.0%)
KD 1 SUB 0 CTRL 1:20
L
Islam Makhachev
2025-01-18
SUB
• R1
• 4:05
SS
9/27
(33.3%)
TD 0/0
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:00
TD 0/0
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 0:00
W
Benoit Saint Denis
2024-09-28
KO/TKO
• R2
• 5:00
SS
50/72
(69.4%)
TD 1/3 (33.3%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 4:53
TD 1/3 (33.3%)
KD 0 SUB 0 CTRL 4:53
W
Benoît Saint Denis
2024-09-28
TKO - Doctor's Stoppage
• R2
• 5:00
Detailed fight statistics not available
Brian Ortega
Recent Form
● L
● L
● W
● L
● L
Aljamain Sterling
L
2025-08-23
U-DEC
• R5
• 5:00
124/227
(54.6%)
SS
3/6 (50.0%) TD
0 KD
0 SUB
3:55 CTRL
3/6 (50.0%) TD
0 KD
0 SUB
3:55 CTRL
Diego Lopes
L
2024-09-14
U-DEC
• R3
• 5:00
106/206
(51.5%)
SS
1/1 (100.0%) TD
0 KD
0 SUB
2:45 CTRL
1/1 (100.0%) TD
0 KD
0 SUB
2:45 CTRL
Yair Rodriguez
W
2024-02-24
SUB
• R3
• 0:58
55/115
(47.8%)
SS
0/1 (0.0%) TD
1 KD
0 SUB
1:32 CTRL
0/1 (0.0%) TD
1 KD
0 SUB
1:32 CTRL
Yair Rodriguez
L
2022-07-16
KO/TKO
• R1
• 4:11
23/46
(50.0%)
SS
0/0 TD
0 KD
0 SUB
0:00 CTRL
0/0 TD
0 KD
0 SUB
0:00 CTRL
Alexander Volkanovski
L
2021-09-25
U-DEC
• R5
• 5:00
88/234
(37.6%)
SS
2/5 (40.0%) TD
0 KD
3 SUB
0:54 CTRL
2/5 (40.0%) TD
0 KD
3 SUB
0:54 CTRL
Recent Form Analysis
LAST FIVE
Renato Moicano
3-2
Brian Ortega
1-4
WIN %
Renato Moicano
60.0%
Brian Ortega
20.0%
FINISH RATE
Renato Moicano
80.0%
Brian Ortega
40.0%
AVG FIGHT LAB RATING
Renato Moicano
--
Brian Ortega
--
SIG / TD ACCURACY
Renato Moicano
SS
53.0%
·
TD
19.4%
Brian Ortega
SS
48.3%
·
TD
47.5%
AVG CONTROL
Renato Moicano
2:22
Brian Ortega
1:49
PREDICTION DATA
100%
High